Libyan Parties, World Powers Meet in Berlin Amid Low Expectations For Breakthrough

  • 1/19/2020
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Germany will host on Sunday the international-regional conference to discuss the crisis in Libya, despite shy expectations of achieving any breakthrough that allows bridging the gap between the two main parties to the crisis, Prime Minister of the Government of National Accord (GNA) Fayez al-Sarraj and Commander of Libyan National Army (LNA) Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar. Special Representative of Secretary-General (SRSG) Ghassan Salameh seemed hopeful before the official launch of the summit sponsored by German Chancellor Angela Merkel jointly with the United Nations. Salames statements suggested that he is positive Berlin Summit has an opportunity to re-launch the Libyan-Libyan solution, which can start with a step as small as stabilizing the truce and turning it into a cease-fire by forming a security committee that includes GNA and LNA officers. “All foreign interference can provide some aspirin effect in the short term, but Libya needs all foreign interference to stop. Thats one of the objectives of this conference,” Salame told AFP in an interview. According to the German government, the event will involve several countries, namely Egypt, France, Germany, Russia, Turkey, UAE, UK, US, and Congo, as well as organizations such as the United Nations, the European Union, the African Union, and the Arab League. The summit will take place amid Europeans concerns regarding the situation on the southern bank of the Mediterranean, whether relating to illegal immigration or fears that it becomes a base for extremists as the situation was years ago when ISIS took control over Sirte. Back then, European officials feared that ISIS might take advantage of the chaos in Libya and send a number of its members among immigrants crossing the Mediterranean waters towards its northern bank, in preparation for launching terrorist attacks on European soil. Leaks suggested that the Berlin summit will draft a concluding document that might include a hint of imposing sanctions on external parties that interfere in Libya. The international committee will deal with the implementation of the six Libyan settlement “baskets” outlined in the document. They are the ceasefire, weapons embargo, resumption of the political process, reforms in the security sector, economic reforms, and humanitarian law and human rights. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s statement issued Saturday in which he attacked Haftar was a negative indication the summit could achieve any breakthrough. On the other hand, Russian President Vladimir Putin could be a source of optimism especially as Europeans hope he will use the many “cards” he possesses in the Libyan crisis to launch the path of a political solution, knowing that Putin has a good relationship with the various parties of the crisis. Putin almost succeeded a few days ago in achieving a breakthrough between Haftar and Sarraj. Both Libyan officials met separately with Russian officials in Moscow. Haftar left Moscow without signing a draft agreement offered by the Russian side, refusing any Turkish role in monitoring the cease-fire, among other reservations. Many reports confirm mercenaries are working for the Russian security company, Wagner, and fighting among the ranks of Haftars forces, however, Putin said a few days ago that Moscow was not sending them if they were indeed there. UN Envoy Salame is betting Turkey and Russia agree to withdraw their mercenaries from the ranks of the two fighting parties, hoping it may persuade them to return to the negotiating table, and ensure that the Libyan crisis can’t be solved through a military solution.

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