Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews is expected to provide his roadmap for the easing of lockdown restrictions – which may not happen until October – at midday today. Just in case you missed it, Victoria reported 63 new coronavirus cases today. Sadly, five people have died in the last 24 hours: Victoria lockdown could last until October Melbourne could remain under stage-four restrictions until mid-October, according to modelling from the University of Melbourne, which suggests if restrictions are lifted before the 14-day average drops below 25 new cases a day there would be a third wave of infections. The modelling was released by the Victorian government in the lead-up to a much-awaited press conference by the premier, Daniel Andrews, on Sunday which will set out the plan for moving the state out of lockdown. Stage-four restrictions, which were introduced in Melbourne on 2 August, are due to expire on 13 September. Andrews has already hinted they may be extended. The modelling, circulated by the premier’s office, indicates that the restrictions could be extended until the daily case numbers average 25 new cases a day or lower – which, on the current rate of decline, would mean extending stage four for four to five more weeks. Summary Hello and welcome to today’s live coverage of the coronavirus pandemic. My name is Helen Sullivan and I’ll be bringing you the latest updates from Australia and the rest of the world for the next few hours. You can find me on Twitter @helenrsullivan or via email: helen.sullivan@theguardian.com. Italy and Croatia saw protests against coronavirus measures on the weekend, with several thousand people rallying on Saturday in the Croatian capital Zagreb and about 1,000 people demonstrating in the heart of Rome against the mandatory use of face masks and compulsory vaccination for schoolchildren. Meanwhile in Australia, Victorians have been warned daily coronavirus cases might not be low enough by mid-September to safely ease restrictions, raising the prospect of more months under lockdown. Here are the other key developments from the last few hours: Portugal reported 486 new coronavirus cases on Saturday, its biggest daily increase since the week its lockdown was lifted in May. The UK recorded 1,813 new infections on Saturday, slightly down from the 1,940 cases that were reported Friday, the highest figure since 30 May. Brazil recorded 30,168 additional confirmed cases of coronavirus in the past 24 hours, as well as 682 deaths from the disease, and remains the second-worst affected country globally. France reported 8,550 new confirmed coronavirus cases on Saturday, slightly down from Friday’s new all-time record of 8,975 daily additional infections. Covid-19 could now be endemic in some parts of England that combine severe deprivation, poor housing and large BAME communities, according to a highly confidential government analysis. Democratic US vice presidential candidate Kamala Harris said she would not trust Donald Trump with a potential coronavirus vaccine. The lengthy coronavirus shutdown of pubs in Ireland that’s beenin place since mid-March has hit rural communities particularly hard. Several thousand people rallied on Saturday in the Croatian capital Zagreb to protest against coronavirus measures, which they said endangered human rights and freedoms. About 1,000 people demonstrated in the heart of Rome on Saturday against the mandatory wearing of face masks and compulsory vaccination for schoolchildren.