EMERGING MARKETS-Chile's peso leads Latam FX higher after positive China data

  • 11/2/2020
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* Trading volumes subdued due to Brazil, Mexico holidays * Latam stocks rise after steep weekly losses * Oil-linked currencies fall (Updates prices throughout, adds comments) By Ambar Warrick and Shreyashi Sanyal Nov 2 (Reuters) - Chile"s peso led gains across Latin American currencies on Monday as positive Chinese manufacturing data supported copper prices, although sentiment remained subdued ahead of Tuesday"s U.S. presidential election. Activity in China"s factory sector accelerated at the fastest pace in nearly a decade in October, supporting copper prices, given that China is the world"s largest consumer of the metal. Chile"s peso rose 0.8% to the dollar on the rise in prices of copper, Chile"s largest export. Chile"s economic activity fell 5.3% in September year-on-year but grew 5.1% from the previous month, the central bank said on Monday, as the country emerged from the worst period of the coronavirus pandemic. Other Latam currencies moved in a flat-to-low range, as anticipation of the U.S. election and holidays in Brazil and Mexico - the region"s largest economies - kept trading volumes slim. Mexico"s peso fell 1%, while Colombia"s peso shed 0.1% as oil prices plunged in the face of laggard demand due to new coronavirus-driven lockdowns across Europe. "France, Germany, the UK and Belgium have announced that they will be going back into lockdown... If we look at pre-COVID-19 demand numbers, these four countries consumed the equivalent of a little over 6% of global consumption," analysts at ING wrote in a note. "Another key uncertainty for the market is the U.S. presidential election - A Biden victory could see the U.S. taking a less hawkish stance with Iran, and so raising the possibility that we see oil sanctions against Iran removed." Weakness in commodity markets, coupled with jitters over the U.S. election, have weighed on Latam assets in recent weeks. Emerging market sovereign debt issuance in 2021 could reach around $140 billion, almost as high as this year, as a flurry of high-yield bond sales offsets a slowdown in investment-grade issuance, Goldman Sachs estimates. "With monetary policy set to remain very accommodative worldwide, additional expected fiscal efforts in the U.S. and Europe, and a Chinese economy continuing to fire on many cylinders, the global macro environment for emerging markets looks promising overall looking into 2021," said Alejo Czerwonko, chief investment officer emerging markets Americas at UBS. Latam equities recovered slightly from their worst week in six months, with the MSCI"s index of regional stocks gaining 0.3%. Colombian markets were also closed for a holiday. Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies: Stock indexes Latest Daily % change MSCI Emerging Markets 1114.23 0.98 MSCI LatAm 1811.66 0.29 Brazil Bovespa 93952.40 - Mexico IPC 36987.86 - Chile IPSA 3571.13 0.88 Argentina MerVal 47422.93 4.709 Colombia COLCAP 1136.75 - Currencies Latest Daily % change Brazil real 5.7446 - Mexico peso 21.4117 -1.12 Chile peso 767.5 0.78 Colombia peso 3863.1 0.15 Peru sol 3.6147 - Argentina peso (interbank) 78.6800 -0.44 Argentina peso (parallel) 164 3.05 (Reporting by Ambar Warrick and Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Susan Fenton and Sandra Maler)

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