ANALYSIS-Biden's economic picks signal focus on COVID labor crisis

  • 12/1/2020
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Dec 1 (Reuters) - President-elect Joe Biden has named inequality and labor market specialists as leaders in his economics team, suggesting he may prioritize progressive policies aimed at women and minority workers especially devastated by the pandemic. Biden is building his team as an estimated here 12 million Americans are bracing for the loss of unemployment benefits the day after Christmas, and as other programs providing student loan forbearance and protection from evictions are also set to end. They will need to find ways to help those who are historically the last to benefit in an improving economy, typically women and minorities whose livelihoods have been disproportionately upended by the pandemic crisis as jobs in the hospitality, entertainment and travel industry evaporated. Biden’s nominees include former Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen as Treasury Secretary and Cecilia Rouse, a labor economist at Princeton University whose research focuses on education, as Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA). Serving with Rouse on the CEA will be Heather Boushey, the chief executive of the Washington Center for Equitable Growth, known for her research on inequality and economic growth, and longtime adviser Jared Bernstein, who has pushed for policies to help close the employment gap between Black and white workers. The focus on labor economists is “no coincidence,” said Adriana Kugler, a professor of public policy and economics at Georgetown University. “This is the key issue of our time,” said Kugler, who worked as chief economist for the Labor Department during the Obama and Biden administration. “This is what we need to fix.” As the administration attempts to put more Americans back to work, here’s what to expect: RIGHT TO A JOB The selections signal a return to the original intent of the CEA, which was created after World War II with the Employment Act of 1946, which declared that “all Americans” have the right to full-time work, said William Spriggs, chief economist with the AFL-CIO, the largest federation of U.S. labor unions. “It is very important in this economy to have a CEA that understands the importance of full employment,” said Spriggs. Unemployment sank to half-century lows before the pandemic hit during the Trump administration, but even then the jobless rate for Blacks, for instance, was nearly twice what it was for whites. Biden’s team of inequality experts suggest he will prioritize policies that can help women and minority workers recover from the pandemic, said Diane Swonk, chief economist for Grant Thornton. “The focus is clearly in healing from COVID,” Swonk said. BRING ON THE STABILIZERS Biden has called on lawmakers to pass the Heroes Act, a House bill that would extend unemployment benefits and send more direct payments to households, among other programs. The people Biden is putting on his economic team have stressed the ways these benefits can stabilize households and help the economy recover from a downturn. They have also favored using so-called automatic stabilizers, which tie benefits such as jobless aid to measures of economic health, such as the unemployment rate, and reduce the need for further action from Congress. Testifying in July before the Senate’s Joint Economic Committee, Boushey called for issuing more direct payments, renewing the $600 supplement to weekly unemployment benefits, and suggested the enhanced jobless benefits be set up to continue automatically until the economy improves. That would avoid scenarios when benefits expire because of stalemates between lawmakers, as is looming right now. HIGHER MINIMUM WAGE One key step this team is likely to take is to push for an increase to the federal minimum wage, which Biden supported on the campaign trail. Increasing the minimum wage to $15 an hour “has huge implications for income inequality and particularly for Black women,” said Spriggs. According to a 2018 Bureau of Labor Statistics report here, 2.7% of hourly wage-earning Black women made the minimum wage or less, the highest percentage of any racial or ethic group. Boushey has also spoken about how raising the minimum wage can lower the poverty rate, boost productivity and reduce income inequality here. These efforts could face strong resistance from Republican lawmakers in Congress, said Swonk. AFFORDABLE CHILD CARE AND PAID LEAVE Boushey’s research on the ways family-friendly policies can support growth gained new relevance during the pandemic, which has pushed many women out of the labor force. Biden’s plan for caregivers, which calls for increasing tax credits for child care, expanding services for elder care and improving pay and benefits for caregivers, includes many of the policies Boushey studied throughout her career. "My life"s work has been centered on ensuring our families and work are properly valued within our economy," Boushey posted on Twitter here on Monday. INVESTMENTS IN RETRAINING AND INFRASTRUCTURE The Biden team has pledged to invest in improving U.S. infrastructure - which can be broadly defined as “what the government does so people can get to work,” including improving access to training programs and child care, said Spriggs. Both Rouse and Boushey are likely to focus on that definition of infrastructure, he said. Policymakers and businesses can help people facing long term unemployment by investing in targeted retraining programs that help workers prepare for in-demand jobs, such as health care, information technology and renewable energy, said Kugler. Reporting by Jonnelle Marte; Additional reporting by Heather Timmons; Editing by Dan Burns and Chizu Nomiyama Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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