UPDATE 3-Italian bond yields rise as PM Conte faces key votes in parliament

  • 1/18/2021
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* Italy’s Conte faces two days of parliamentary votes * BTP/Bund spread at 113 bps vs low of 98 bps week ago * Markets look ahead to Thursday ECB meeting * Euro zone periphery govt bond yields tmsnrt.rs/2ii2Bqr (Updates prices) LONDON, Jan 18 (Reuters) - Italy’s borrowing costs rose on Monday as Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte faced two days of parliamentary votes that will decide if his fragile coalition can cling to power or has lost its majority. Political turmoil in Italy, one of the euro zone’s biggest and most indebted economies, is once again weighing on sentiment. Italian 10-year bond yields rose around 9 basis points last week, the biggest weekly jump since October. Hefty stimulus from the European Central Bank and an expectation that a snap election is unlikely for now have limited the selloff in Italian bonds. Still, the renewed turmoil has paused a rally in Italy’s bond market that had sent the 10-year bond yield gap over Germany to 98 bps just a week ago. That was the tightest spread since 2016 and it has now widened out to 113 bps. Italy’s 10-year bond yield was last up 2.5 bps on the day at 0.61%, heading back towards six-week highs hit last week. “We still view snap election risks as remote even if Conte fails, as a government of national unity probably remains the preferred attempt of President Mattarella until the next regular election in 2023,” said Commerzbank rates strategist Rainer Guntermann. Conte appealed on Monday for parliamentarians from outside his government to rally to coalition ranks, saying he needed broad-based support to forge ahead with a pro-European agenda. He faces two days of parliamentary votes that will decide if his fragile coalition can stay in power or if it has lost its majority, opening the way for what are likely to be prolonged negotiations on a new government. Attention is especially focused on the 321-seat Senate, where Conte looks certain to fall short of an absolute majority after his efforts to persuade centrists in opposition ranks at the weekend to rally to his side looked to have failed. Meanwhile Italy was working on its first green bond, that would likely have a maturity of more than 10 years. Elsewhere, euro zone bond markets were relatively subdued. U.S. markets are closed for a holiday on Monday and traders are largely on the sidelines ahead of Thursday’s ECB meeting. There was some focus on Germany, where centrist Armin Laschet was on Saturday chosen to lead Angela Merkel’s Christian Democrats, putting him in pole position to succeed her as Germany’s next chancellor. “On the face of it, this might be viewed as a positive when it comes to European government bond spreads as Laschet would arguably be likely to adopt a less strident approach to EU affairs than (arch-conservative Friedrich) Merz,” Rabobank analysts said in a note. Germany’s 10-year bond yield was trading 1.5 bps higher at -0.525%.

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