World Bank slashes GDP growth forecasts for the Philippines

  • 6/8/2021
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The World Bank has slashed its Philippine growth projection for this year due to a deeper-than-expected contraction in the first quarter and the reimposition of stricter quarantine measures in the capital region to contain a surge in COVID-19 cases. While growth in the Philippines remains on track for recovery, the bounce back this year will likely be lower than previously expected at 4.7%, Kevin Chua, World Bank senior economist, told a media briefing. The World Bank"s forecast was cut from its previous projection of 5.5% and compares with the Philippine government"s 2021 growth target of 6.0%-7.0%. The economy contracted by a record 9.6% last year. Chua flagged a host of "significant downside risks" to the World Bank"s outlook, including the resurgence of infections due to new COVID-19 variants and extended mobility restrictions. The Southeast Asian country is battling one of Asia"s worst coronavirus outbreaks with more than 1.27 million cases recorded and nearly 22,000 deaths. A new surge in cases starting in March had prompted the reimposition of stricter mobility curbs in the capital region and nearby provinces, but new cases have come off a peak, allowing for some restrictions to be eased. Philippine authorities are banking on a steadier flow of vaccine deliveries in the second half to ramp up its immunisation drive to allow a further reopening of the economy and more people to return to work. The unemployment rate climbed to 8.7% in April, equivalent to more than 4 million jobless people, from 7.1% in March, government data showed. The World Bank also lowered its growth forecast for the Philippines for next year and in 2023 to 5.9% and 6.0%, respectively, from the 6.3% and 6.2% estimates it announced in March. "The key policy challenges are to manage the pandemic, effectively deliver social protection and mobilise sector participation in the recovery," Chua said.

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