CEE MARKETS-Crown slips to near 1-month low as markets await Czech rate hike

  • 9/30/2021
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The Czech crown eased on Thursday and slipped back toward a one-month low, as it remained caught in global market jitters, while investors priced in the country"s biggest rate hike in decades. In its policy meeting later in the day, the Czech National Bank is widely expected to deliver a 50 basis point rate hike, its largest since 1997, as it accelerates a monetary policy tightening cycle to battle growing inflationary pressures. The expected extraordinary hike is coming as Hungary"s central bank, which also started tightening in June, eases the pace of its rate hikes. The crown hit its highest level against the euro since February 2020 earlier this month, but it has since slipped back as investors worry about global growth, particularly the Chinese economy. It traded 0.1% down at 25.523 to the euro at 0840 GMT. "Markets price in (significant hikes) but at the same time there are separate concerns about the global recovery," said Jaromir Sindel, a Citi economist in Prague. "This is something that is negatively influencing the Czech currency." Beyond Thursday, markets have been pricing in standard 25 basis point hikes at the Czech bank"s final two meetings in 2021. The crown and Hungarian forint have been central Europe"s best performers this year, but the latter has also eased in September and cut its gain this year to below 1%. The crown is up 2.6% this year. The forint dropped 0.1% on Thursday, weakening past the 360 per euro level that had previously provided support for the currency in July. In Poland, the zloty firmed a touch to 4.629 to the euro, and Warsaw stocks gained 0.5%, helping to pace gains in the region at the end of the month after earlier pressure. CEE SNAPSHO AT MARKETS T 1040 CET CURRENC IES Latest Previou Daily Change s bid close change in 2021 EURCZK Czech EURHUF Hungary 0 0 EURPLN Polish EURRON Romanian EURHRK Croatian EURRSD Serbian 0 0 Note: calcula 1800 daily ted CET change from STOCKS Latest Previou Daily Change s close change in 2021 .PX Prague 1327.39 1320.93 +0.49% +29.23 00 % .BUX Budapest 52163.0 52004.6 +0.30% +23.88 3 0 % .WIG20 Warsaw <.WIG20 2303.43 2290.97 +0.54% +16.10 > % .BETI Buchares 12611.0 12615.4 -0.04% +28.61 t 0 6 % .SBITO Ljubljan <.SBITO 1176.95 1172.17 +0.41% +30.65 P a P> % .CRBEX Zagreb <.CRBEX 1988.81 1983.63 +0.26% +14.35 > % .BELEX Belgrade <.BELEX 801.88 802.37 -0.06% +7.12% 15 15> .SOFIX Sofia <.SOFIX 584.61 580.76 +0.66% +30.63 > % BONDS Yield Yield Spread Daily (bid) change vs Bund change in Czech spread Republic CZ2YT= 2-year s CZ5YT= 5-year s CZ10YT s Poland PL2YT= 2-year s PL5YT= 5-year s PL10YT s FRA 3x6 6x9 9x12 3M interba nk Czech Hungary Poland Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices *********************************** *************************** (Reporting by Jason Hovet in Prague and Anita Komuves in Budapest; Editing by Rashmi Aich)

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