LIVE MARKETS Gearing up for central bank action

  • 12/13/2021
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Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com GEARING UP FOR CENTRAL BANK ACTION (0747 GMT) After recovering quickly from the Omicron scare, equity markets look set to kick off a busy week for central banks on the front foot. With some hawkish signals expected, markets could be in for a bout of volatility in the closing days of 2021 even though some of the policy shifts, particularly by the U.S. Federal Reserve have been well-telegraphed in advance, leaving investors somewhat prepared. European stock futures are in the black after gains in Asia, and U.S. futures also point north after the S&P 500 clocked its 67th closing record high of the year on Friday and investors started watching for Apple (AAPL.O) becoming the first $3 trillion company. But it"s not just about U.S. policy this week. Interest rate hikes are in store for a raft of central banks in emerging markets from Russia to Mexico, and then there"s also the European Central Bank and the Bank of England. So while inflation surprises haven"t stopped the equity bull run - as firms have been able to pass on to consumers rising costs and corporate margins have reached record highs - they have stepped up the pace of rate hikes globally. There have been 59 rate hikes across investable markets so far this year with a cumulative net increase of 2,570 basis points, according to central bank data collected by financial services firm Black Cuillin. Also, in the U.S., moderate democrats are becoming increasingly worried about the political fallout of high prices and are pushing for more aggressive policy tightening, according to the Financial Times. Reflecting bets of early 2022 rate hikes after U.S. inflation rose to the strongest reading since 1982, 10-year U.S. Treasury yields edged up towards the psychological 1.5% mark. Elsewhere, the pound was set for a beating after PM Johnson warned of Omicron "tidal wave", while oil prices extended their rally, suggesting little worry about the variant. Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Monday: Chinese artificial intelligence start-up SenseTime Group postponed its $767 million Hong Kong IPO after being placed on a U.S. investment blacklist [USN:L1N2SY02Y] Credit Suisse announced a wide-ranging overhaul of its executive board as the Swiss bank seeks to move on from a horrendous year where it has been battered by a stream of controversies and losses [USN:L8N2SY0LD] Australian biopharmaceutical giant CSL confirmed it is in talks to buy Swiss drugmaker Vifor Pharma in a deal reported by media to be worth about A$10 billion [USN:L4N2SX0XB] German wholesale price index BOE Financial stability report 1700 GMT France"s Macron attends summit of four Visegrad countries Poland, Hungary, Czech and Slovakia Canadian Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland and Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem hold presser on 5-year monetary policy framework (Danilo Masoni) ***** EUROPE: STOCK FUTURES ON THE UP (0730 GMT) European shares are set to open higher today as investors prepare for a raft of central bank meetings this week that could tighten monetary policy further in the face of rising inflation. Following gains across Asian markets, Euro STOXX 50 futures were pointing north, and were up 0.3%, while derivatives on U.S. stock indexes were also rising by around the same amount following a record closing high on Friday. (Danilo Masoni) ***** Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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