Asian FX set to end 2022 first week in red on hawkish Fed

  • 1/7/2022
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Thai baht set for biggest weekly loss since early Dec Malaysian ringgit, S.Korean won poised for 1% weekly losses India"s Nifty 50, Singapore advance over 2% for the week Indonesian 10-year yield at near 3-week high Jan 7 (Reuters) - Most Asian currencies firmed slightly on Friday, but all the units were set to end the week lower due to lingering pressures of an increasingly hawkish Federal Reserve, while investors awaited U.S. jobs data to assess the need for faster rate hikes. For the first week of 2022, the Malaysian ringgit and the South Korean won are set to lose about 1% each, and the Thai baht is eyeing its worst weekly decline since early December even after a positive start. Among equities in the region, India"s Nifty 50 (.NSEI) was set to log 2.7% weekly gain, its best in four months, despite Asia"s second-biggest economy witnessing a surge in new COVID-19 cases, a jump of 117,100 on Friday - a five-fold increase in a week. Singapore shares (.STI) were chasing over 2% weekly gains, their best since mid-March, while Malaysian (.KLSE) and Philippine (.PSI) benchmarks were poised for about 2% losses each. The Indonesian rupiah snapped a four-session losing streak to firm 0.3% over the day. It lost 1% since the start of 2022, dampened by chances of faster U.S. rate hikes, a firm dollar and the government"s decision to ban coal exports in January, setting it up for a 0.7% weekly dip. The Indonesian 10-year benchmark yield scaled a near three-week high of 6.445% after slumping to a more than one-month low earlier in the week, as U.S. Treasury yields rose on the possibility of early Fed monetary tightening. "Indonesian bonds are buffeted by external factors such as rising U.S. yields and a more hawkish Fed, which may drive some bond outflows from Indonesia in the short term and a bump up in yields," said Wei-Liang Chang, FX and credit strategist at DBS Bank. Although Indonesia, Southeast Asia"s biggest economy, faces concerns regarding rising inflation, which was below Bank Indonesia"s (BI) 2021 range as of December, uncertainties around the spread of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus has the central bank holding interest rates at record lows. However, DBS Bank analysts Duncan Tan and Eugene Leow expect "a faster moving Fed would put some pressure on BI to move faster on its own rate hike cycle, so as to pre-empt potential sell-off in local bonds and currency". China"s yuan has lost 0.4% this week, its biggest decline since late-August, while the Philippine peso was down about 0.5%, its third straight week of losses. Investors are now looking ahead to a key U.S. jobs report due later in the day to assess if the data would underpin the need for the Fed to move towards rate hikes faster than expected. HIGHLIGHTS: ** Asian stocks trade at steep valuation discount to global peers read more ** Thailand announces more coronavirus curbs after jump in cases read more ** South Korea"s Lotte Chemical to build $3.9 billion petrochemical project in Indonesia read more Asia stock indexes and currencies at 0651 GMT COUNTRY FX FX FX INDEX STOCKS STOCKS Japan -0.08 -0.72 (.N225) -0.03 -1.09 China +0.09 -0.35 (.SSEC) -0.05 -1.52 India +0.19 -0.02 (.NSEI) 0.39 2.66 Indonesia +0.17 -0.80 (.JKSE) 0.71 1.81 Malaysia +0.17 -0.95 (.KLSE) 0.23 -1.95 Philippines -0.08 -0.41 (.PSI) -1.30 -1.81 S.Korea -0.04 -1.06 (.KS11) 1.18 -0.76 Singapore +0.11 -0.74 (.STI) 0.63 2.58 Taiwan -0.12 +0.02 (.TWII) -1.08 -0.27 Thailand -0.30 -0.65

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