Best film Will win: The Power of the Dog (dir. Jane Campion) Should win: The Power of the Dog (dir. Jane Campion) Shoulda been a contender: The Green Knight (dir. David Lowery) Outstanding British film Will win: Belfast (dir. Kenneth Branagh) Should win: After Love (dir. Aleem Khan) Shoulda been a contender: The Souvenir Part II (dir. Joanna Hogg) Best director Will win: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog Should win: Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza Shoulda been a contender: Joanna Hogg for The Souvenir Part II Outstanding debut by a British writer, director or producer Will win: Rebecca Hall for Passing Should win: Aleem Khan for After Love Shoulda been a contender: Prano Bailey-Bond for Censor Best film not in the English language Will win: Drive My Car (dir. Ryu Hamaguchi) Should win: Drive My Car (dir. Ryu Hamaguchi) Shoulda been a contender: Azor (dir. Andreas Fontana) Best documentary Will win: Flee (dir. Jonas Rasmussen) Should win: Flee (dir. Jonas Rasmussen) Shoulda been a contender: State Funeral (dir. Sergei Loznitsa) Best animated film Will win: Encanto (dirs. Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Charise Castro Smith) Should win: Flee (dir. Jonas Rasmussen) Shoulda been a contender: Accidental Luxuriance of the Translucent Watery Rebus (dir. Dalibor Baric) Best original screenplay Will win: Kenneth Branagh for Belfast Should win: Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza Shoulda been a contender: Andy Siara and Max Barbakow for Palm Springs Best adapted screenplay Will win: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog Should win: Ryu Hamaguchi, Takamasa Oe for Drive My Car Shoulda been a contender: David Lowery for The Green Knight Best actor Will win: Benedict Cumberbatch for The Power of the Dog Should win: Adeel Akhtar for Ali & Ava Shoulda been a contender: Clayne Crawford for The Killing of Two Lovers Best actress Will win: Joanna Scanlan for After Love Should win: Joanna Scanlan for After Love Shoulda been a contender: Olivia Colman for The Lost Daughter Best supporting actor Will win: Kodi Smit-McPhee for The Power of the Dog Should win: Woody Norman for C’mon C’mon Shoulda been a contender: Raúl Briones for A Cop Movie Best supporting actress Will win: Ariana DeBose for West Side Story Should win: Ruth Negga for Passing Shoulda been a contender: Lashana Lynch for Eye for Eye Best music Will win: Hans Zimmer for Dune Should win: Hans Zimmer for Dune Shoulda been a contender: Jonathan Larson for tick, tick … BOOM! (posthumous) Best cinematography Will win: Greig Fraser for Dune Should win: Ari Wegner for The Power of the Dog Shoulda been a contender: Claire Mathon for Spencer