Oil Updates — crude ticks up as markets assess falling inventories, potential Chinese stimulus

  • 7/21/2023
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HOUSTON/BEIJING: Brent oil prices rose in Asian trading on Friday, as markets assessed the prospect of economic stimulus in China after weak economic data, falling inventories in the US and supply cuts from key producers, according to Reuters. Brent futures were up $1.02 at $80.66 a barrel by 14:34 Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude climbed $1 to $76.65 a barrel. Prices closed marginally higher on Thursday. China’s weak economic figures had kept a lid on prices through the week. The world’s second-biggest oil consumer this week posted disappointing growth in second-quarter gross domestic product, increasing the likelihood of the economy missing the government’s 5 percent annual growth target. However, sentiment across commodity markets has picked up on hopes the central government would roll out more stimulus measures to support the economy. Higher crude prices have come “on positive commentary on China stimulus and looked through impacts from the stronger US dollar index,” National Australia Bank analysts said in a note. On Wednesday, Beijing announced that it would formulate plans to stabilize growth in 10 sectors, as well as to increase support for private firms. Supporting prices, recent data, including lower-than-expected inflation and moderating job growth, have convinced many investors and analysts the Federal Reserve’s expected July rate hike will be the last of its current tightening cycle. Supply fundamentals have also provided support to market sentiment. “Evidence of supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia have been the trigger for the rebound in prices this month,” analysts from ANZ Bank said in a client note. In early July, Riyadh said it would extend a voluntary output cut of 1 million barrels per day into August, while Moscow said it would cut exports by 500,000 bpd in August. “That tightness in supply is already showing up in inventories,” ANZ noted. US crude inventories fell last week, supported by a jump in crude exports as well as higher refinery utilization, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.

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