Turkish Inflation Lowest in 7 Months

  • 3/4/2019
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Inflation in Turkey has dropped below 20 percent for the first time since August 2018, reaching 19.67 percent in February, the Turkish statistics office (TUIK) said Monday. Consumer prices had been falling since a 15-year high in October, but inflation rose in January and reached an annual rate of 20.35 percent from 20.30 percent in December. Economists in a Reuters poll had forecast an annual rate of 19.9 percent. The highest monthly increase was recorded in health, at 2.48 percent, according to TUIK. In January the Turkish central bank cut its 2019 inflation forecast to 14.6 percent from a previous estimate of 15.2 percent. Food prices increased just 0.9 percent last month after surging 6.4 percent in January, the drop reflecting Ankaras push to drive prices down. Ahead of local elections on March 31, Turkish authorities set up their own vegetable stands, selling produce at a much cheaper rate to force markets to lower their prices. Some of the major supermarket chains operating in Turkey, such as Migros, cut their own vegetable prices after the stalls were established last month. Reacting to the figures, Turkish Finance Minister Berat Albayrak said on Twitter that the data "showed the effects of the measures taken. Inflation will continue to fall". During a rally on Saturday, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said inflation would "fall once again to six, seven (percent)", adding: "20-19 (percent) inflation doesnt suit us." However, he did not specify a timeline for the goal. According to Agence France Presse, the central bank will meet on Wednesday to decide on interest rates, the last meeting before the polls. Most economists expect the bank to keep its current rate of 24 percent. AFP quoted Jason Tuvey, senior emerging markets economist at UK-based Capital Economics, as saying that Mondays data was "unlikely to be enough to persuade" the bank to lower rates.

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