UPDATE 1-CEE MARKETS-Hungary cuts back government bond auction, yields rise

  • 8/26/2021
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(Updates with Hungary govt bond auction results, market reaction) By Anita Komuves and Krisztina Than BUDAPEST, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Hungary cut back its government bond sales on Thursday at its first auction since the central bank announced on Tuesday that it would start winding down their purchases, as markets were concerned about the effects of the start of the tapering. The Hungarian central bank raised its base rate by 30 basis points to 1.5% on Tuesday to rein in inflation and said it would trim weekly bond purchases to 50 billion forints ($168.79 million) from 60 billion starting this week. The Government Debt Management Agency (AKK) auctioned three series of bonds and sold 35 billion forints ($118.25 million)worth of government bonds versus a 55 billion offer. The AKK sold 5-year bonds at an average yield of 2.31%, up from 2.09% at the previous auction two weeks ago. Ten-year bonds were sold at an average yield of 2.88%, up from 2.84%. Fifteen-year bonds were sold at an average yield of 3.28%, up from 3.17% at the end of July. "With the central bank taking a step back, there is some uncertainty at the market... investors will need a few more auctions to become confident that yields will stabilise," a fixed-income trader in Budapest said. Yields have climbed up 4-6 basis points since the auction, with yields rising the most in the middle section of the curve, he said. "Overall the National Bank of Hungary"s tapering steps seem very cautious and is unlikely to deliver meaningful tightening in monetary conditions," Citigroup analysts said in a note. "Therefore, the FX and the interest rates channels remain the key tools for the NBH to curb inflation." The forint was down 0.28% on the day at 348.82 per euro, after hitting a two-month high on Wednesday. Some analysts said the NBH could slow the pace of its rate hikes from September, with the strong forint helping to curb inflation. Citigroup analysts said the expected rate hikes to slow to 15 basis points from next month if August consumer price data confirmed easing of domestic pressures and the forint held around 350 to the euros helping contain imported inflation. Elsewhere, the Czech crown edged down 0.11% to 25.566. The Polish zloty was little changed trading at 4.5740 against the common currency. The forint has outperformed its peers, firming 4% this year, followed by a 2.6% rise by the Czech crown. Unlike the Hungarian and Czech central banks, which have been hiking interest rates, the Polish central bank has stayed put in the face of rising price pressures across the region. "The situation on the zloty market is slightly improving. This is mainly related to the recent improvement in moods in the core markets," Maciej Madej, an analyst at DM TMS Brokers said in a note. He added the zloty was still relatively weak compared with regional peers because of different central bank policies. Stocks in the region were mostly down, with Warsaw leading losses, falling 0.4%. CEE SNAPSHO AT MARKETS T 1213 CET CURRENC IES Latest Previous Daily Change bid close change in 2021 EURCZK= Czech EURHUF= Hungary 0 EURPLN= Polish EURRON= Romania EURHRK= Croatia EURRSD= Serbian 0 Note: calculated from 1800 daily CET change Latest Previous Daily Change close change in 2021 .PX Prague 1286.05 1290.020 -0.31% +25.21 0 % .BUX Budapes 50962.4 51093.80 -0.26% +21.03 t 7 % .WIG20 Warsaw 2315.86 2325.19 -0.40% +16.73 % .BETI Buchare 12314.6 12274.70 +0.33% +25.59 st 5 % .SBITOP Ljublja <.SBITOP 1198.19 1200.97 -0.23% +33.01 na > % .CRBEX Zagreb 1962.00 1958.40 +0.18% +12.80 % .BELEX1 Belgrad <.BELEX1 796.76 800.95 -0.52% +6.43% 5 e 5> .SOFIX Sofia 567.92 570.68 -0.48% +26.90 % Yield Yield Spread Daily (bid) change vs Bund change in Czech spread Republi c CZ2YT=R s CZ5YT=R s CZ10YT= s Poland PL2YT=R s PL5YT=R s PL10YT= s FORWARD 3x6 6x9 9x12 3M interba nk Czech 1.63 2.08 2.22 0.97 Rep Hungary 2.15 2.31 2.33 1.61 Poland 0.42 0.64 0.87 0.21 Note: are for ask FRA prices quotes ********************************************* ***************** ($1 = 296.2300 forints) ($1 = 295.9800 forints) (Additional reporting by Alan Charlish in Warsaw; Editing by Tomasz Janowski and Rashmi Aich) Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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