BUCHAREST, Aug 27 (Reuters) - The Hungarian forint led
central European currencies lower against the euro on Friday, as
markets were cautious ahead of U.S. inflation data and potential
clues from the U.S. Federal Reserve on when stimulus might be
pulled back.
Hungary"s central bank delivered its third consecutive
interest rate hike earlier this week and began cutting back its
government bond sales, a step back from accommodative policies
brought on by the pandemic.
By 0940 GMT, the forint was down 0.3% against the euro at
350.1000, hovering near a one-week low. The currency was still
up 3.5% this year, outperforming regional peers. Some analysts
said the bank (NBH) could slow the pace of its rate hikes as the
strong forint would help curb inflation.
"With inflation still some 70 basis points above the NBH"s
forecast and growth going strong, we maintain our call for a 30
basis points hike in September," Morgan Stanley said in a note.
"Still, we think that the September inflation report will
show that risks to the inflation outlook have started to balance
out and we expect the central bank to slow the pace of
tightening."
Traders are waiting on Fed Chair Jerome Powell"s speech at
the Jackson Hole symposium due at 1400 GMT where some analysts
expect he may give signs of when the central bank might start
slowing its bond purchases.
Elsewhere in the region, Polish zloty was down
0.2% and the Czech crown 0.1% against the euro.
Polish central bankers rejected a motion to raise its main
interest rate by 15 basis points to 0.25% at its July sitting,
minutes showed on Thursday.
"While the probability of a 15 basis points rate hike in
November has increased slightly ... it is still a low
probability scenario," Commerzbank said in a note.
"Hence, the Polish zloty is likely to underperform the
Hungarian and forint and the Czech koruna in coming months."
The Romanian leu was flat on the day. Romania must
avoid the risk of tightening monetary policy too soon so as to
not put the brakes on economic recovery, a deputy central bank
governor said.
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