EMERGING MARKETS-Currencies bounce as dollar falls, stocks headed for weekly losses

  • 10/1/2021
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* EM stocks index headed for 1.2% weekly declines * Chilean peso firms as economic activity jumps * Venezuela to subtract six zeros from currency (Adds details, updates prices throughout) By Shreyashi Sanyal Oct 1 (Reuters) - Emerging market currencies firmed against the dollar on Friday, with Brazil"s real, the Mexican peso and South Africa"s rand leading gains, while stocks marked a dour start to the fourth quarter on slowing growth and rising inflation worries. Investor-favourite carry trade currencies like the real , peso and rand rose about 1.4% each, as the dollar fell for the second day, tracking declines in U.S. Treasury yields, as investors booked profits after recent sharp gains. A carry trade is when investors borrow in a low-yielding currency to invest in higher-yielding assets, which has often helped these currencies stay afloat and outperform regional peers this year. Still, many emerging market currencies ended the week with declines including those of Mexico and Brazil, while the rand tracked nominal gains for the week. Chile"s peso found support from a bounce in prices of its main export, copper, to rise 1.2% off 15-month lows. The currency slipped 10% last quarter and about 1.3% this week. Data showed Chile"s economic activity jumped 19.1% in August versus the same period the previous year. The MSCI"s emerging market stocks index fell 0.4%, declining for the third time this week as data showed weakening manufacturing activity across Asia and Russia in September, due to curbs to contain the latest wave of the coronavirus pandemic, as well as indications of slowing growth in China. The index is set for a weekly decline of 1.3%, while its Latin American counterpart also fell by the same amount for the week. However, analysts are positive on emerging market equities based on current valuations. "They (EM stocks) trade at a discount to the developed world despite strong growth potential and headroom for credit consumption," strategists at Franklin Templeton wrote in a client note. "Latin America is rich in natural resources and looks to benefit from the commodity boom taking place amid the recovery from the pandemic." In other parts of Latin America, Venezuela will launch its second monetary overhaul in three years by cutting six zeros from the bolivar in response to hyperinflation, simplifying accounting but doing little to ease the South American nation"s economic crisis. The International Monetary Fund said on Thursday that its board had approved an agreement with Ecuador to revise the terms of a financing deal reached last year, and would immediately disburse some $800 million to the South American country. Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 1945 GMT: Stock indexes Latest Daily % change MSCI Emerging Markets 1248.50 -0.37 MSCI LatAm 2266.58 1.72 Brazil Bovespa 112796.68 1.64 Mexico IPC 51021.57 -0.71 Chile IPSA 4326.72 -0.82 Argentina MerVal 77816.67 0.586 Colombia COLCAP 1369.18 0.53 Currencies Latest Daily % change Brazil real 5.3713 1.44 Mexico peso 20.4202 1.03 Chile peso 801.6 1.15 Colombia peso 3787.53 0.47 Peru sol 4.1242 -0.09 Argentina peso (interbank) 98.7900 -0.04 Argentina peso (parallel) 183 1.64 (Reporting by Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Giles Elgood and Ken Ferris) Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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